Yesterday we looked at the Top Five underrated players based on the computer's weekly projections. Today we do just the opposite and find out who the computer won't be drafting this weekend.
1) Jake Locker, QB, Washington - The computer is all about 1s and 0s and oblivious to hype. Bottom line, it's not thrilled about the opening stretch that includes BYU, Syracuse, Nebraska and USC. Point Difference: -105.7
2) Zach Collaros, QB, Cincinnati - Collaros' Ease of Schedule (EOS) ranking checks in at 102nd in the country. With many solid defenses on the schedule, there is a fine line between scoring 2 or 3 touchdowns in many weeks, and the computer took the conservative approach in most cases. Point Difference: -96.4
3) Jacory Harris, QB, Miami -Similar to Collaros, Harris has a tough road to hoe with a 107 EOS ranking. Non-conference dates at Ohio State and at Pitt don't help. Point Difference: -75.3
4) Andrew Luck, QB, Stanford -Some will likely agree that we have Luck rated too high from a fantasy perspective. It will all depend on whether coach Jim Harbaugh opens up the playbook or not. The computer is skeptical. Point Difference: -74.2
5) Christian Ponder, QB, Florida State -The loss of Jarmon Fortson certainly doesn't help, but the computer was bearish on Ponder even before his main target took a liking to the marijuana. The non-conference schedule includes Oklahoma, BYU and Florida. Yikes. Point Difference: -69.2
* Jacquizz Rodgers, RB, Oregon State - He didn't make the top five, but it is worth noting that the computer is not as bullish on Quizz as we are. With games against TCU, Boise St. and USC, you can understand why. But the computer has never seen Quizz run against big time foes. In short (no pun intended), he's a gamer and one of the few players where the opponent doesn't seem to matter. Point Difference: -61.9
So what does all this mean? While Locker and Luck will rack up points against the likes of Washington State, the probability of them scoring big on a week in and week out basis appears slim. Whether or not you factor this into your rankings as you head into your drafts this weekend, is up to you. But the computer has thrown up the warning flags, and we've learned to not question it.