Strength of Remaining Schedule

Jayson Tompkins
Writer
October 07, 2011

Week 6 of the 2011 season is upon us which means teams are going to be hitting the meat of their conference schedule. A good fantasy owner has to be aware how the remaining schedule is going to affect his players. Generally speaking, defense is optional in mid-major conferences, while the Big Ten and the SEC annually dominate defensively. This is great news for the likes of Houston and Hawaii in the college football world, teams who love to put up video game stats against their conference brethren, but you may want to think twice about relying on teams like Nebraska or Tennessee who have both produced some fantasy studs so far this season.

I’m a huge geek at heart, and as sad as it may sound, I actually enjoy doing some good ole fashion number crunching. I compiled some information that can be very helpful in spotting some potential fantasy heroes for the remainder of the season. Here are the conferences with the easiest schedule remaining. Note that these numbers are the averages of the teams remaining on their schedule. 

Average points allowed by remaining opponents

Conference

Pts/G

PYD/G

RYD/G

Big Ten                                           

19.381

204.7759

129.883

Big East                                         

20.6637

238.3118

110.058

SEC                                              

20.7809

194.7228

138.054

ACC                                              

22.9088

218.2869

137.747

Big XII                                          

24.25

236.375

144.9

IND                                              

24.5222

219.2426

143.706

Pac-12                                           

25.7418

245.4374

129.132

MAC                                              

26.6793

207.9207

157.548

C-USA                                            

28.8854

235.6803

166.726

MWC                                              

29.227

225.7721

172.441

WAC                                              

30.4156

232.0016

153.75

Sun Belt                                         

31.5806

249.297

158.439

There isn’t anything shocking here, as the stats back up the stereotypes we are used to seeing. One thing that should stand out to you is the dominance the Big East has had stopping the run, and the complete inability to stop the pass. This conference overview is helpful, but let’s dig deeper and look at specific teams whose ease or difficulty in their remaining schedule stands out. This is where we can really spot some information that you can use to your advantage when deciding on a waiver pickup or in a potential trade. 

Average points allowed by remaining opponents

Team

PTS/G

PYD/G

RYD/G

Auburn                                           

17.33

184.87

110.50

Indiana                                          

17.41

200.37

114.36

Ohio St                                          

17.56

195.90

130.47

Illinois                                         

17.99

198.33

133.07

Purdue                                           

18.19

204.08

123.69

Nebraska                                         

18.29

199.70

122.24

Florida                                          

18.71

188.59

111.54

Wisconsin                                        

19.01

196.64

118.84

Minnesota                                        

19.21

205.03

122.82

Pittsburgh                                       

19.49

239.43

96.55

South Fla                                        

19.74

227.06

112.63

Penn St                                          

19.84

216.77

127.05

Michigan                                          

19.84

209.40

121.45

West Virginia                                    

19.98

253.57

99.66

Vanderbilt                                       

20.14

179.79

125.00

Tennessee      

20.17

189.14

127.66

Iowa                                             

20.34

201.82

140.78

Connecticut                                      

20.35

242.91

103.62

Army                                             

20.65

185.97

145.35

Arkansas                                         

20.83

204.25

144.00

Alabama                                          

20.83

204.25

144.00

Wake Forest                                      

20.89

224.08

123.40

Louisville                                       

20.93

248.21

109.05

Cincinnati                                       

20.98

237.07

108.16

Kentucky                                         

21.14

184.56

139.70

South Carolina                               

21.28

189.96

157.64

Duke                                             

21.29

201.29

128.69

Rutgers                                          

21.49

222.71

130.46

LSU                                               

21.50

199.89

147.68

Mississippi                                      

21.83

209.14

136.46

Michigan St                                      

21.86

219.79

149.92

Kansas                                            

21.94

234.16

120.94

Texas Tech                                       

21.94

234.16

120.94

Boston College                                

22.18

211.21

149.01

Syracuse                                          

22.23

235.73

118.17

Northwestern                                     

22.59

209.35

150.31

Maryland                                         

22.64

212.18

128.59

Notre Dame                                       

22.79

220.38

148.27

Georgia                                          

22.83

193.58

156.67

Georgia Tech                                     

22.85

208.23

148.79

Miami (Fla)                                      

22.86

226.53

124.61

Mississippi St                                   

23.08

210.24

166.03

UNC                                              

23.08

221.23

141.21

Virginia Tech                                    

23.19

223.18

137.44

NC State                                          

23.21

223.27

140.09

Florida St                                       

23.43

218.21

141.77

California                                       

23.86

237.82

130.63

Texas A&M                                         

23.97

221.00

152.13

Oklahoma St                                      

23.97

221.00

152.13

Washington St                            

24.23

244.73

123.46

Oregon St                                         

24.38

248.34

129.47

Ball St                                          

24.51

207.86

154.66

USC                                              

24.61

242.66

118.76

Virginia                                         

24.62

217.78

150.51

Baylor                                           

24.66

245.56

149.38

Kansas St                                        

24.66

245.56

149.38

Bowling Green                             

24.74

205.80

157.11

Oregon                                           

24.79

248.51

110.09

Clemson                                          

24.81

230.35

144.82

Iowa St                                          

24.81

245.88

147.94

Texas                                             

24.81

245.88

147.94

Miami (Ohio)                                     

24.85

195.78

151.63

Akron                                            

25.04

207.53

148.77

Navy                                              

25.23

223.93

133.36

Colorado                                         

25.26

257.85

135.21

Northern Ill                                     

25.74

213.20

151.34

Missouri                                          

25.88

235.28

154.13

Oklahoma                                         

25.88

235.28

154.13

Buffalo                                          

25.96

194.76

160.23

UCLA                                             

26.00

248.73

125.72

Temple                                           

26.07

207.76

148.14

Stanford                                         

26.16

242.70

121.44

East Carolina                                    

26.51

220.81

159.16

Washington                                       

26.59

242.56

138.56

SMU                                              

26.81

215.64

164.81

Central Mich                                     

27.29

211.00

148.43

Ohio                                              

27.41

208.10

152.91

UAB                                              

27.50

234.64

146.43

Southern Miss    

27.55

220.44

173.74

Arizona St                                        

27.59

239.71

145.21

Tulsa                                            

27.71

234.32

171.56

Arizona                                          

27.97

245.24

132.50

Utah                                              

27.98

245.37

140.43

Air Force                                        

27.99

225.65

161.29

UTEP                                             

28.02

212.74

160.77

Toledo                                           

28.27

213.21

169.17

Kent St                                          

28.27

203.13

167.31

Colorado St                                      

28.31

231.31

172.20

UNLV                                             

28.45

217.44

185.64

Fresno St                                        

28.46

218.06

155.94

Memphis                                          

28.54

223.20

167.19

San Jose St                                      

28.74

229.57

142.12

TCU                                               

28.90

222.94

171.30

New Mexico                                       

28.94

223.98

171.99

Eastern Mich                                     

29.26

223.54

169.26

BYU                                               

29.48

244.94

150.53

New Mexico St                                

29.53

226.98

137.01

Troy                                             

29.54

234.46

152.44

Wyoming                                           

29.61

221.13

166.89

Western Mich                                     

29.67

213.04

170.00

Rice                                             

29.86

256.26

163.92

UCF                                              

30.22

258.77

160.89

San Diego St                                     

30.31

233.41

167.78

Idaho                                            

30.38

226.35

153.56

Mid Tenn St                                      

30.54

245.24

144.90

Tulane                                           

30.54

249.21

169.48

Western Ky                                       

30.63

256.21

143.30

Louisiana Tech                                

30.64

227.09

170.10

Utah St                                           

30.87

245.58

159.28

Hawaii                                           

31.03

222.66

166.69

Boise St                                         

31.13

230.44

182.22

Marshall                                          

31.22

244.86

190.59

Fla. Atlantic                                    

31.25

260.08

166.83

La-Monroe                                        

31.73

255.84

159.60

North Texas                                       

32.06

238.55

161.44

Houston                                          

32.11

251.39

176.99

FLA Intl                                         

32.83

229.15

171.44

La-Lafayette                                     

32.94

258.81

172.64

Arkansas St                                      

33.17

263.99

155.03

Nevada                                           

33.50

258.09

145.88

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