Mock Draft 1.0: 4th Round

From CFFL.com

Here is the fourth round of Mock Draft 1.0  The roster requirements for each of the ten teams and the point total for the mock league are enclosed below.  

-          One quarterback

-          Two running backs

-          Two wide receivers

-          One tight end

-          One kicker

-          One defense

Scoring system

-           1pt every 25 passing yards

-           6pts every passing TD

-            - 4pts every INT

-           1pt every 20 completions

-           1pt every 10 rushing yards

-           1pt every 10 receiving yards

-           1pt every 20 rushes

-           6pts every rushing or receiving TD

-           1 pt every reception, 1pt-XP, 3pts-FG)

Fourth Round

It does not matter who is throwing Patton the ball in 2012, he will be a big time receiver.  No one had as good a year without the fanfare as Patton in 2011.  Patton had a 200 yard game, 3-100 yard games and four other over 80 yards.  He caught at least 5 passes in ten games last season.  Only eight receivers return having greater production than Patton.  Critics will point to his production coming against a softer pass defense schedule (six games against pass defenses 90^th or below), but the last time we checked the WAC is not recruiting anyMorris Claiborne’s this offseason.  Roll with Patton, he should provide a potential 300 point season.  For the fourth round, that is great value.

On paper, Doege had a great 2011.  We think this may be a tad high, but he did average almost 34 points per game, which is good for 6^th best returning average and 11^th best for 2011.  However, was that the last pass-happy year leftover from the Mike Leach era?  Or will Doege do it again?  It is so hard to knock his production.  However, he is a liability against ranked teams.  Outside of the “what the hell happened in Norman game,” where Doege threw for 441 yards and 4 touchdowns, his four touchdowns and six interceptions in three other games against ranked teams is porous.  His top three wide receivers are back and the Red Raiders must face high school powerhouses Northwestern…State,  Texas…State and the Fighting Bob Davies of New Mexico in their first three games.    

This is always a risky proposition- taking a second wide receiver from the same team this high.  However, USC is the type of team that can allow a fantasy owner to get away with it.  Lee exploded as a freshman.  He scored touchdowns in 9 of his final 10 games with 3-100 yard games and a 200 yard game as well.  He capped off his freshman campaign with a 13 catch 224 yard and two touchdown performance against cross-town rival  UCLA.  Lee is the third player taken from USC, but do not worry, because he is projected to score over 300 points in 2012 scoring over 20 points in every game with a quarterback who will sit in the pocket and throw the ball 400 times this season.    

Fajardo was not a full-time starter in 2011, but when give the opportunity, he flourished.  We do caution that his numbers are a little vulnerable in 2012 with the move to the MWC.  After games against California and  South Florida, Fajardo rips through a five game stretch where 40+ points each game are very attainable.  Fajardo has a high floor because of his running ability.  We project 6-100 yard rushing performances this season.  His numbers compare favorably to the style of his predecessor Colin Kaepernick, who did not always throw for many touchdown passes, but his rushing total and touchdown production compensated for it. 

Tettleton gets the nod here over a few other qualified quarterbacks because of his one reason: the schedule.  After opening at Penn State, which of the following games would you sit the junior dual threat: New Mexico St, Marshall, Norfolk State, UMass, Buffalo, Akron, Miami, OH, Eastern Michigan, BGSU, Ball State and  Kent State? That is a tailor-made schedule and great value in round 4.  This is all in addition to Tettleton’s resume, which included 8 games of 30 points or greater in 2011.  Look for him to be the 2012 version of Northern Illinois quarterback  Chandler Harnish.   

Hunter stormed out of the gate in 2011 with 146 and 156 yard receiving performances in the first two games.  Then he suffered a torn ACL early in game three versus the Gators.  Hunter is polished with the ability to run the intermediate and deep routes.  He caught 16 balls in the first two games, showing that he can help in PPR leagues.  We have him projected for 250 points in 2011, despite playing in the SEC and coming off the knee injury.  He also has Tyler Bray at quarterback who never appeared to find his comfort zone after Hunter went down. 

Stills has his quarterback, Landry Jones returning in 2012 despite a preliminary first round grade.  With Ryan Broyles moving onto the NFL as the most decorated wide receiver in Sooner history, Stills has the opportunity to shine as the primary target.  However, Broyles’s injury did not coincide with increased production for Stills.  In the final four games of the regular season, Stills caught 20 balls for 239 yards and no touchdowns.  It was in this same time that the Blake Bell phenomena exploded (scored 10 touchdowns in same time period).  As long as Stoops continues with a traditional offensive setup in the red zone, Stills should eclipse 1000 yards and 10 touchdowns in 2012. 

I can make the argument that this is too low for Graham.  I can also make the argument that this is too high.  Graham had a sensational 2011 before he suffered a season-ending knee injury.  He had 3-40 plus fantasy point performances before he went down.  With Paul Chryst, the architect of the Badger offenses the past seven seasons, as head coach, look for the running game to be emphasized.  Graham may not put up  Montee Ball numbers, but anything resembling them makes this a good pick.   

Saunders quietly put together a productive 2011 season.  As with Fajardo earlier this round, his numbers may deflate somewhat with the move to the MWC.  However, he should still amass 250 points this season with only one possible sit on the schedule (at  Oregon).  The rising junior had 5-100 yard receiving games and three 2+ touchdown games.  With Derek Carr returning and  Robbie Rouse at running back, the Bulldog offense has nice balance and should be considered one of the best returning offenses for fantasy owners.

Austin was the favored receiver heading into 2011, but he has lost some of the sizzle to teammate  Stedman Bailey.  Nevertheless, Austin still had a successful season.  He had eight games over 20 points.  That is steady production.  His ceiling was not as high as thought when the Mountaineer offense was being projected last summer.  The reason was only four receiving touchdowns all season.  He made up for it in the PPR department, totaling 89 catches in the regular season.  If Austin can double his touchdowns, he should be looking at close to 300 points in 2012, which is an elite season for receivers.